销量和ASP继续下滑 手套股涨势料不持久
每季手套平均售价
(吉隆坡14日讯)眼见市场需求逐步正常化,MIDF投资研究估计,未来手套销售和平均售价会进一步下滑,同时碍于缺乏催化剂,手套股价反弹也只会是短暂存在。
分析员表示,今年1月大马手套出口价值继续呈跌势,按月萎缩7.6%至22亿令吉;销量也按月下挫1.4%,至7万4175吨。
有此跌势,是因为既有业者扩产,加上新进业者抢滩造成供过于求,进而压低平均售价。
展望未来,分析员认为,尽管手套平均售价不会回到疫前水平,毕竟全球卫生意识已提高,但销量和价格,会继续比现时呈下行趋势。
至于手套股价表现,分析员观察到,相关疲软情绪已反映在马交所保健指数上,“该指数目前徘徊在2100点左右;去年4月中,该指数一度触及3382.38的峰值。”
谈及未来股价表现,分析员认为,由于缺乏强而有力的催化剂,支撑手套股长期股价,相关领域的反弹也只会是短暂的。
“虽然变种病毒确诊病例不断增加,但疫苗接种率同步走高,会造成手套需求、平均售价稳定下来。”
手套股比一比
ESG是一大隐忧
另一方面,环境、社会和监管(ESG)课题也是一大隐忧。分析员说,从美国海关和边境保护局(CBP)扣押我国手套等事件来看,ESG依然是手套业前进的拦路虎。
“尽管管理层已在今年初,推出外劳管理政策来满足国际劳工组织条件,但我们认为,执行层面与美国、加拿大禁止进口政策,仍存在落差。”
种种负面因素缠绕下,分析员继续对手套业维持“中和”评级,首选股为首选贺特佳(HARTA,5168,主板保健股),目标价5.88令吉,原因是后者积极将生产过程自动化,和努力解决ESG风险。
另外,分析员给予高产柅品工业(KOSSAN,7153,主板保健股)、顶级手套(TOPGLOV,7113,主板保健股)、速柏玛(SUPERMX,7106,主板保健股)“中和”评级,个别目标价为1.78、2.27、1.20令吉。
http://www.enanyang.my/%E8%B4%A2%E7%BB%8F%E6%96%B0%E9%97%BB/%E9%94%80%E9%87%8F%E5%92%8Casp%E7%BB%A7%E7%BB%AD%E4%B8%8B%E6%BB%91-%E6%89%8B%E5%A5%97%E8%82%A1%E6%B6%A8%E5%8A%BF%E6%96%99%E4%B8%8D%E6%8C%81%E4%B9%85
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