美股"凛冬已至" 投资者要如何应对?
25/01/2022
美国股市出现自2020年3月以来最严重下跌,星期一晚大跌1115点後再回弹99点走势,预告美股未来一段时间内,表现会非常震荡。
升息,乌克兰随时爆发战争,新冠变种病毒恶化等等不利因素,今年美股可能是最差的一年。
更多分析师认为,美股有可能进一步深跌;投资美国股票在大马也日渐普遍,投资者要如何应对?美国数家投行分析员提供一些建议。
摩根士丹利分析师 Michael Wilson 在一份报告中写道,股市凛冬已至,在联准会货币政策趋和经济成长减速的环境下,抛售潮可能还会继续。
美国银行首席投资策略师 Michael Hartnett 称,联准会「歇斯底里地」落後於通膨曲线,应该在本周会议上升息。
Hartnett 建议做多波动性丶优质股票,并在金融状况趋紧时采取防御性策略。
股神巴菲特曾说过:「海水退潮後,就知道谁在裸泳了。」
摩根士丹利投资管理公司高级投资组合经理 Andrew Slimmon 表示,投资人应避免逢低买进昂贵的成长股,因为「一旦退潮,这些股票会持续低迷很长时间。」
CFRA 首席投资策略师 Sam Stovall 表示,当前的市场低迷视为「非常典型的暴跌。」季节性因素也可能造成影响,股市在总统任期的第二年往往表现不佳。
Stovall 告诫投资人不要轻率行事,什麽都不做通常是最好的策略。
Stovall 称:「市场低迷时期的最佳策略可能根本就没有策略,但这完全取决於投资人的风险承受能力和时间范围。」
不过,Stovall 也指出,诸如必需消费品丶公用事业和能源等防御性类股通常会提供丰厚的股息,以及特别股等高收益投资,对於那些在可能出现更大波动时寻求避险的投资者来说,可能是不错的选择。
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