VIS (0120) - (Tradeview 2016) Best Value Pick of The Year 2016 : Visdynamics Holdings Bhd. (Update)
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Once
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recommendation), feel free to have some intellectual discourse on this.
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Best Value Pick of the Year 2016: Visdynamics Holdings Bhd (Updated TP of RM0.35 sens)
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Best Value Pick of the Year 2016: Visdynamics Holdings Bhd (Updated TP of RM0.35 sens)
Vis
released their QR yesterday and registered an amazing 318% increase
YoY. Even QoQ, Vis registered a great 9% increase. The share price
immediately jumped 10% in morning trading session. The revenue grew from
RM865k to RM11.7 million (record high) YoY and net profit increased
from a loss of RM987k to RM2.1 million. For the immediate preceding quarter, the profit increased from the earlier record high 1.78 EPS to 1.94 EPS. NTA increased to 0.21 sens.
It
was a great turnaround from the start of the year and finally they
manage to end it with a bang with a record high performance. There is
increase in both topline and bottomline.
Most
importantly, I was factoring in the inconsistency of the semicon
industry yet it defied the odds and went ahead to outdo its earlier
record quarter. I am very pleased with the ability of the management to
translate growth into actual earnings unlike the earlier quarters.
From
the chart above, Vis earnings has been volatile and inconsistent.
However, this time, the company cap off the full 4Q with amazing
performance and record performance with a healthy profit margin. I think
the chart speaks for itself. This is a clear case of turnaround.
Considering the record performance, the management maintains their optimism for the the future prospect. This is another plus point.
Based
on the results of the latest QR and the management's comments, I
believe Visdynamics future prospect is bright. Altough many would argued
that Vis should be worth 38 sens based on the trailing 4Q EPS at 10x
multiple valuation, I think this view is simplistic. Having said that,
it is not farfetch.
Additionally, for a penny counter
10-12x PE is indeed quite a low, specifically a tech / semicon stock
where peers are usually 15x multiples. Nonetheless, my style of
investment is prudent. I would like to apply a discount at only attach
9x PE for the counter deriving a fair value of 35 sens. Those who are
bullish can maintain thier higher TP but the reason I am being
conservative is because of the overall economy.
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Food for thought:
http://tradeview101.blogspot.my/2016/12/tradeview-2016-best-value-pick-of-year.html