OCK (0172) - OCK - Expanding to a Regional Footprint: Asean Player in the Making!
Company Profile
OCK is founded and led by Mr. Ooi Chin Koon in year 2000 (OCK Setia
Engineering Sdn Bhd) and listed on Bursa Ace Market in year 2012. I
guess now you can see where the 'OCK' name come from. =)
From 2000 to 2012, it is not bad for a cool 12 years from 0 to a
listed entity right? It took another 2 short years for OCK to upgrade
herself from ACE to Main Market (20m PAT in 3-5 years with the latest
financial year not less than RM6m PAT).
What OCK do?
Extracted from OCK's Corporate Website:
PROPOSED PRIVATE PLACEMENT OF UP TO 105,632,181 ORDINARY SHARES OF RM0.10 EACH IN OCK REPRESENTING APPROXIMATELY TEN PERCENT (10%) OF THE ISSUED AND PAID-UP SHARE CAPITAL OF OCK ("PROPOSED PRIVATE PLACEMENT").
For a simplistic calculation, let's say I am taking the last closing
price @ 5/8/2016 which is RM0.83 and multiply by 105.6m shares, the
amount to be raised will be RM87m. (Generally, to do a Placement, PVWAP
of 5 days will be used).
Raising so much of funds via Equity do dilute the shares and EPS,
moreover it is barely 4 years old in Bursa. Many Investment Managers
definitely will raise their eye browse on this. Let's map the chronology
of the fund raising:
Fundraising i:
It was being done at the same time /year with the acquisition of PT Putra Telecommunications in Indonesia.
A new venture to overseas business.
Fundraising ii:
The 2nd cash call was being done at the same time /year with the
acquisition of 920 telecommunications towers contract from Telenor
Myanmar. Another new country she ventured in.
Fundraising iii:
The 3rd cash call was being done at the same time /year with the
acquisition of SEATH (owned 1938 towers in Vietnam. Another new country
she is venturing in.
Look at how the money flows as at 1st Quarter of 2016:
For 1st Cash Call:
There is a balance of 16.11% to be used. The mandate to utilize the
money has expired on June 2016. I believe OCK has fully utilized the
100% of the 1st cash call for now.
For 2nd cash call:
There is a balance of 87.3% to be used for business expansion which I believe for Myanmar's Project.
What to look at for OCK?
Growth Catalyst: Potential Improvement of Earnings from Indonesia & Myanmar
The overseas venture done is bearing fruits for her. During the Indonesia acquisition, it was 6000 sites, 2 years later it is 20000 sitess. Not bad at all.
What do you think for the upcoming 2nd and 4thPlease refer below of the details highlighted in blue:
2nd Financial Health Analysis
Income Statement
Profit Margin = 7.84% - pass (<5 fail="" p="">
Interest Cover = 4.31x - pass (<3x fail="" p="">
Profit for the past 4 years = Yes, steadily grow from RM13.15m year listing year 2012 to RM24.75m in year 2015
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio = 3.32x – pass (<1x fail="" p="">
Debts to Equity Ratio = 0.59x – pass (>3x fail)
Cash Flow
Positive at least 1 year = Pass - Yes from RM12m (2012) to RM164m (2015)
OCK PASS ALL 6 FINANCIAL HEALTH RATIOS.
3rd. Pricing Analysis
Price to Earnings:
Using the Rolling 4 Quarters EPS: 3.197 = 0.83/3.197 = 26x (not cheap at all)
Looking at continuous income from Indonesia and Myanmar, it should be better for the few upcoming quarters.
Price to Book Value – 1.95x (not cheap but acceptable)
Dividend Yield – 1.45% (for a company in high expansion mode, any dividends payout is a bonus)
Do look at her Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for Revenue and PAT (extracted from Annual Report):
Net profit has tripled for the past 5 years. From a RM9.2m to Rm27.1m. Talking about consistent high growth for her!
4. Catalysts for 2016:
1. The main catalyst which catches my eyes for possible long term investment:
The consolidation of income from Seath Vietnam. Assuming 2016 yield
about the same like 2015: 60% of 2015 PAT of RM7.44m will be around
RM4.5m added in to the bottom line.
The additional incoming revenue from Indonesia and Myanmar. Monies
raised from the upcoming placement definitely will be a great usage to
improve the following few 2016 Quarterly Report results.
Technical Chart Perspective:
She has touched the resistance level @ 0.84 for the 7th time! Talk
about long consolidation. Look at the triangle (blue line) recording
Higher Low for the last 6x support level. The latest few days closed
with a high volume. Something to see for technical chartist?
For those who likes to see for a longer time frame, lets look at
below, it might look interesting for you. It is trading at the new high,
trying to break the old resistance set in July 2014 ! Wonder what would
it be in the near future ? =)
Conclusion & Personal Opinion:
I like the strong management team lead by Mr. OCK and solid
fundamental numbers recorded. As now the company has been in the
overseas business for the 3rd year, I believe the numbers will be good
for the near future. Let's hope that the name OCK also stands for Orang
Cepat Kaya.
Potential risks involved are the slowdown in Malaysia economy as most
of her revenue currently still in Malaysia and fluctuations on USD
currency (Indonesia, Myanmar and Vietnam's Project). For those
conservative FA followers, this stock might not be suitable for you as
it has a high valuations. I am looking at 'Growth Investing' and not
'Value Investing'. Our perspective and risk tolerance might be
different.
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Sincerely,
Humble Pie
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OCK (0172) - OCK - Expanding to a Regional Footprint: Asean Player in the Making!
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