DLADY (3026) : DLADY – Fundamental Analysis (16 Nov 2014)

DLADY (3026) : DLADY – Fundamental Analysis (16 Nov 2014)

DLADY Analysis:-

Excel – http://1drv.ms/1H3yaIA

My View:-

- Fair Value:
– 5-Y DCF:  
– Base Scenario – 56.85 (Fair Value Uncertainty: LOW)   
– Good Scenario – 64.97 (Fair Value Uncertainty: MEDIUM)  
– Bad Scenario – 49.62 (Fair Value Uncertainty: MEDIUM)   
– Ugly Scenario – 43.19 (Fair Value Uncertainty: VERY HIGH)
 
– Absolute EY%:   
– Trailing:     
– FY13 (EPS: 2.16) – Fair value 46.81 (Fair Value Uncertainty: HIGH)     
– R4Q (EPS: 1.906) – Fair value 41.3 (Fair Value Uncertainty: VERY HIGH)   
– Forward:   
– FY14 (EPS: 1.756) – Fair value 38.04 (Fair Value Uncertainty: VERY HIGH)     
– FY15 (EPS: 2.001) – Fair value 43.35 (Fair Value Uncertainty: VERY HIGH)   
– EPS applied to reach the current stock price (46.62): 2.152

- I am positive with DLADY’s future:
 
– Its solid fundamentals and strong branding position
 
– Aggressive marketing and promotional activities
 
– Robust demand of diary product in the long-term as Malaysia’s population is projected to reach 38 million people by 2040 from 30 million currently.

Latest Financial – Q2 2014 Financial Report (6 Nov 2014)

http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/1720301

At the time of writing, my family member owned shares of DLADY.

Towards Financial Freedom
http://lcchong.wordpress.com